On that last point, the last few weeks leading up to the election I had this creeping, insidious feeling he'd win that I could not shake. I remember my writing becoming more...desperate...in trying to convince people not to cast their votes his way, yet I knew trying to change minds that close was hopeless.
I stayed up to watch election results by refreshing Google all night. The results started moving his way between 9-10pm if I recall correctly (I watched 'til 2am, then gave up and somehow dragged myself to bed). I wasn't surprised, just a bit shocked that the totals didn't prove that sinking feeling I had all wrong.
Again, I was too superstitious/afraid of starting negative network effects/didn't want to sound like an ass if my feeling turned out wrong, so I withheld sharing it on DW. In hindsight I'm not sorry, since it's a lot of Cassandra role-playing, anyhow. For every one person like me who has a feeling, there are all the rest who simply don't; the feeling gets drowned out by everyone who has the facts. Or so they claim.
a good 40% of the country is fully behind Trump for all kinds of reasons
Ya think. I don't know but I guess it's like splitting hairs: I'd say no more than 35% of them on his best day are still fanatical or capable of being whipped on the spot into fanaticism (and are the worst problem we'll ever have besides TRex and R Congresscritters themselves) while maybe another 10-20% either hold their noses or feel only mildly in favor. Trying to parse out how that affects his and in turn the R's vote totals is part art, part science, I guess. It seems no one has quite nailed either down, just yet.
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ninetydegrees
no subject
on 2018-10-03 01:44 am (UTC)I stayed up to watch election results by refreshing Google all night. The results started moving his way between 9-10pm if I recall correctly (I watched 'til 2am, then gave up and somehow dragged myself to bed). I wasn't surprised, just a bit shocked that the totals didn't prove that sinking feeling I had all wrong.
Again, I was too superstitious/afraid of starting negative network effects/didn't want to sound like an ass if my feeling turned out wrong, so I withheld sharing it on DW. In hindsight I'm not sorry, since it's a lot of Cassandra role-playing, anyhow. For every one person like me who has a feeling, there are all the rest who simply don't; the feeling gets drowned out by everyone who has the facts. Or so they claim.
a good 40% of the country is fully behind Trump for all kinds of reasons
Ya think. I don't know but I guess it's like splitting hairs: I'd say no more than 35% of them on his best day are still fanatical or capable of being whipped on the spot into fanaticism (and are the worst problem we'll ever have besides TRex and R Congresscritters themselves) while maybe another 10-20% either hold their noses or feel only mildly in favor. Trying to parse out how that affects his and in turn the R's vote totals is part art, part science, I guess. It seems no one has quite nailed either down, just yet.