defrog: (license to il)
Or, “Yr New Favorite War (Exclusive Preview!)”

This is the post I was hoping never to have to write. But …




There is trouble in Syria.

You knew that.

And as an American citizen, I am required under the Patriot Act to post my opinion about it so that the NSA has something to put in its file on me.

So … here’s a few talking points, since everyone communicates in talking points these days.

1. I get that a lot of people want to avenge the poor kids in that horrific video and put a stop to it (because that’s what Batman or Arnold Schwarzenegger would do). The problem is, that kind of thing works out a lot better in Hollywood blockbusters than real life. 

I don’t mean that to sound snide. The point is that the situation is a lot more complicated than television news and Republicans are making it look. So much so that I’d advise anyone with an open mind to look at this map and read this hypothetical conversation to get an idea of just how complex the situation really is before they finalize their opinion about it.

Suffice to say, there’s a lot more to it than just stopping Assad’s forces from using chemical weapons; military involvement come with serious consequences; and there’s no real upside for anyone – especially if Obama decides to act unilaterally (and at this rate he may actually have no choice – no one else in NATO wants to have anything to do with a military strike, and that right there should be telling Obama to consider his next move very carefully). 

2. Consequently, I’m not that critical of the way Obama has handled it up to now, if only because he knows full well what happened the last time we invaded a Middle Eastern country on flimsy evidence of chemical weapons usage/ownership. 

3. I’m also generally not impressed with Republicans – especially John McCain and Lindsay Graham – who have been complaining for monthsthat Obama has been dragging his feet and being a pussy about this, because c’mon, they complain about EVERYTHING Obama does as required by the GOP’s official “Obama is the absolute worst POTUS in the history of EVER” meme. If Obama had unleashed the Shock’n’Awe Kraken on Syria back in May, McCain and Graham would probably be the first to say, “Why is Obama shunning diplomacy and unilaterally dragging us into an unnecessary war?”

Meanwhile, everyone at Fox News would be saying, “This is just like when Obama invaded Afghanistan and Iraq.”

Well, maybe not. But they will at the very least say, “Yr doing it wrong.” McCain is saying that now. Because from what I can tell, what the GOP really wants is not so much to bomb Syria as bomb Iran, and if we’re not going to do that, we need to at least bomb Syria back to the Stone Age to show Iran that we give the orders here, and if you get out of line we will fuck you up. So they’re going to complain no matter what Obama does, even if he does what they want him to do. 

4. Case in point: even Donald Rumsfeld is saying, “Now wait just a minute, Mr President.”

No, really:

“There really hasn’t been any indication from the administration as to what our national interest is with respect to this particular situation,” Rumsfeld told Fox News’s Neil Cavuto on Wednesday.

Which is a funny thing for him to say, given the justifications he used to help Bush dish out for invading Iraq, just about all of which turned out to be bogus. 


It could be Rumsfeld doesn’t think using illegal chemical weapons on yr own people should be taken as a bad thing. After all, back in his day, America used to be BFFs with guys like that. 

So possibly he’s waiting for a reason that includes words like “overthrow”, “Iran”, “business model” and “Halliburton”. It’s hard to know. There are known knowns, unknown knowns, known unknowns, etc and so on.

So, yeah. Anyway. The bombing begins in five minutes, and whether it does or not, a whole lot of people are going to die – most if not all of them Syrians. 

That's what I think about all this.

War all the time,

This is dF


defrog: (Default)
As humor magazines go, Mad Magazine was a pioneer in its heyday, but hasn’t quite managed to stay that relevant in the 21st Century – at least not in the same way that Cracked has. Cracked figured out what the Internet wants – random lists about pop culture – and has been delivering it pretty successfully. Whatever Mad is doing, you don't see it circulated around Facebook that much. 

But they still do some things worth passing on. Like the upcoming cover for their latest issue.



See also



See what they did there?

And people said Obama jokes aren’t funny.

Now bombing everywhere,

This is dF


defrog: (onoes)
You don't need me to tell you about the weekend protests over the Trayvon Martin verdict, or Presidente Obama’s comments about it, or the predictable conservative meltdown over both.

I don’t even have to Google it to know what they're saying at Fox News and Breitbart.com, et al. I’m guessing they’re complaining that Obama is sticking his Big Govt nose where it doesn’t belong, and playing the Race-Bait Card, and planning to take everyone’s guns away (again), and only saying what he said for political gain. Blah blah blah.

Admittedly, they have a point with the Big Govt thing, as least as far as General Holder’s interest in Stand Yr Ground goes. Unless he has a compelling reason apart from politics for the DOJ to get involved, the laws themselves should be sorted out state by state. The NRA seems jolly convinced Holder is using it as an excuse for Obama to outlaw guns, but they’ve been saying that since Obama’s first POTUS campaign, so there's no reason to take them seriously.

And as for Obama’s “It could have been me” speech, let’s admit that conservatives would be complaining about Obama no matter what. If he says nothing, he’s ignoring the issue. If he says something, he’s playing politics or starting a race war. There’s no pleasing these dingbats, and most of them are only really bagging on him for the sake of bagging on him. (Except for Sean Hannity, who is just being a dick about it.)  So Obama might as well do what he wants.

As you might guess, I do think Obama said what needed to be said. The inescapable fact is that Martin is dead because he was a black kid in a hoodie. That’s not specifically why Zimmerman shot him, but it is what led to it. And given all the people saying that Trayvon Martin got what he deserved for wearing a hoodie and (possibly) smoking a little weed, I think it’s more than fair to point this out. Because you can’t fix problems by pretending they don’t exist. 

So while we may all be Trayvon Martin, some of us are less Trayvon than others.

Of course, the downside of bringing all this up is that everyone starts getting defensive to the point that it becomes just another distraction. So here’s some decent advice on how to approach it more constructively

Not that it’s going to help much, if only because enough people get paid for a living to be as unconstructive as possible about every sociopolitical issue under the sun, and they have a big enough fanbase that just eats that stuff up like Skittles. The problem, as always, is FEAR – fear of kids like Trayvon, and fear that the solution to the problem is going to be inconvenient  in some way – like having their guns taken away (making them easy prey for black people in hoodies, for example) or some vague revenge fantasy (KILL WHITEY). Or something.

Fear will do that.

But hey, if it were that easy, we’d have fixed racism a long time ago. And anyway, as Presidente Obama correctly pointed out, we’ve come a long way from the 1960s. And our kids are better at it than we are. So why not, Jim?

The content of their character,

This is dF


defrog: (mooseburgers)
ITEM: Conservative groups opposed to the Obamacare law have decided if they can’t repeal it or have the courts strike it down, they can at least ensure that Obamacare fails to work. 

According to Bloomberg, Heritage Action for America (the advocacy arm of the Heritage Foundation) and the Tea Party-aligned group FreedomWorks will push Congress to cut off funding for the insurance exchanges that are key to the entire Obamacare plan, and meanwhile run ads “warning” people that the exchanges don’t work. The rationale: the less people sign up with the exchanges, the more insurance costs will go up under Obamacare:

The insurance exchanges, which will go online in October to provide coverage starting Jan. 1, are designed as Internet marketplaces where people can compare prices for insurance and find out if they qualify for subsidies or Medicaid. Having effective exchanges will be important so people can comply with the law’s mandate that all Americans get insurance or pay a fee.

By creating a large pool of individual buyers, the exchanges are intended to lower the cost of coverage by spreading the risk for insurance companies. Opponents predict that if there isn’t a large enough group or mostly high-cost sick patients sign up, insurance plans won’t be affordable, said Josh Withrow, legislative affairs manager for FreedomWorks.

“If enough people don’t get in to these exchanges, it’s essentially going to be to be unfundable,” said Withrow. “They need the healthy people in the exchanges.”

Ironically, as Wonkette points out, Heritage Action for America knows all this is because the Heritage Foundation helped create the idea of exchange systems for RomneyCare in Massachusetts. Obamacare uses the same principle. And since we know that the exchange system works, the secret to getting rid of Obamacare is, basically, sabotaging the exchange system so that it doesn’t work, after which Republicans will say “See, we TOLD you it would never work the way Obama said!” right before they repeal it.

Which is, obviously, kind of a dick thing to do, considering that the goal is to ensure that the millions of people that might benefit from Obamacare don’t.

But then I guess it’s the logical outcome for a party that has pretty much opposed Obamacare strictly on ideological grounds (GOVT TAKEOVER OF HEALTHCARE, SOCIALISM, ETC) rather than its workability, and have spent an insane amount of time trying to get rid of it – unsuccessfully (although those 37 repeal votes and Supreme Court challenges have paid off in at least one way – 19% of the country actually believes Obamacare has either been repealed or shut down, and another 23% don't know what its status is, according to the Kaiser Family Foundation).

So why not resort to sabotage? And so what if it screws over the millions of Americans that might benefit from Obamacare? They already don’t have health insurance, and they’re also takers who want free Obama stuff, so it’s not like the GOP is going to deprive them of something they actually have. Or don’t have. Or whatever.

Listen all y’all it’s a sabotage,

This is dF


defrog: (Default)
'Scuse me while I get this off my chest ...

One of the ongoing memes over in GOPland™ is that Obamacare, minimum wage and other Big Govt meddling is killing American business and jobs (and thus promoting Communism). The logic goes like this: the more business owners are forced to invest in their workforce, the harder it is to stay profitable, and so they have no choice but to take it out on consumers, their own workers, or both.

Which is why you have the CEO of Papa John’s saying he has no choice but to raise pizza prices because of stupid Obamacare. 

The chief of Applebee’s says thanks to Obamacare, he can’t afford to open any new restaurants or hire any new people (so much for job creation!). 

Darden Restaurants (which runs Olive Garden and Red Lobster) will have to make everyone part-time to avoid paying for their Obamacare. 

John Mackey of Whole Foods thinks Obamacare is fascism socialism something similar to fascism

And so on.

The thing is, while some CEOs are weeping and wailing over how hard it is to make money when you have to spend more on yr workforce, other companies are showing that actually, it’s totally doable.

CostCo is the most high profile and widely circulated example. But there’s also businesses like Trader Joe’s and QuikStop, according to The Atlantic:

"Retailers start with this philosophy of seeing employees as a cost to be minimized," says Zeynep Ton of MIT's Sloan School of Management. That can lead businesses into a vicious cycle. Underinvestment in workers can result in operational problems in stores, which decrease sales. And low sales often lead companies to slash labor costs even further. Middle-income jobs have declined recently as a share of total employment, as many employers have turned full-time jobs into part-time positions with no benefits and unpredictable schedules. 

QuikTrip, Trader Joe's, and Costco operate on a different model, Ton says. "They start with the mentality of seeing employees as assets to be maximized," she says. As a result, their stores boast better operational efficiency and customer service, and those result in better sales. QuikTrip sales per labor hour are two-thirds higher than the average convenience-store chain, Ton found, and sales per square foot are over 50 percent higher.

Now, to be fair, not every business model works for every business. Some companies probably can’t implement the same model as QuikTrip, Trader Joe's, and Costco, for whatever reason – whether it’s the size of yr business, or the costs inherent in that business, or whether you have stockholders or board members who expect you to hit yr profit targets no matter how realistic they are or how yr overall market segment is doing, etc.

On the other hand, when the pay gap between CEOs and workers is what it is in the US, despite a massive increase in worker productivity, it’s really hard for me to be all that sympathetic with CEOs who say “we can’t possibly afford this without cutting hours, cutting staff or raising prices”.

Because clearly other CEOs are proving it is possible.

I’m not saying Obamacare and a min.wage hike won't have an adverse effect on jobs and businesses. I’m just saying in a lot of cases, it will be the fault of CEOs who can’t or won’t amend their business model out of stubbornness, dumb ideology, inertia or greed.

IMO.

Stop yr sobbing,

This is dF


defrog: (Default)
Back around the end of January, I mentioned how America’s sheriffs vowed not to enforce any new gun laws or regs signed by the Obama admin. 

A growing number of state legislatures – which just happen to be controlled by Republicans – feel the same way, and are crafting legislation making it illegal for any fed agentto enforce such federal laws on the grounds that fuck that gawdamn Commie Obama they’re unconstitutional.

Kentucky’s doing it. So is Alabama, Alaska, Idaho, Texas and Wyoming, among others.

Well, good luck with that. The laws being proposed are essentially “nullification” laws, which argue that states don’t have to follow federal laws they deem unconstitutional. The Supreme Court disagrees, and has pretty much never upheld any nullification law that’s been passed. 

Between that and the fact that even Antonin Scalia has ruled that yr 2A rights aren't 100% unlimited, I don’t see these laws holding up in court. 

Ironically, the same could possibly be said of whatever gun-control legislation Congress eventually passes (if any). But why bother waiting to find out years from now when you can pass fear-fueled grandstanding state-level legislation today saying “FUCK YOU, OBAMA, YOU CAN’T HAVE OUR GUNS!”

Which is really what this is all about, I suspect. All of these law proposals sound more like politicians posturing and pandering to the paranoid batshit NRA wing of their respective voter bases. It’s kind of like when Idaho state senator John Goedde proposed a law that would require students to read Atlas Shrugged and be tested on it as a prerequisite for graduation, then after the story went viral and everyone laughed at Idaho, he said he wasn’t serious, he just wanted to make a point.

I have a feeling these anti-fed gun laws are something along the same line.

Then again, some Republicans seem convinced that that they know a hell of a lot more about what is constitutional than that stupid liberal left-wing activist Supreme Court. Like Jim Bridenstine (R-OK), who actually said this:

“Just because the Supreme Court rules on something doesn’t necessarily mean that that’s constitutional.”

So this could be fun, is what I’m saying.

You have no power here,

This is dF


defrog: (Default)
Or: “From now on, ‘grandstanding’ will be known as ‘Rand-standing’ ”

As you no doubt know, yesterday Sen. Rand Paul spent the day filibusterin’ all over John Brennan’s nomination vote.

It looked like this.



Ha ha. No, it didn’t, really. But I’m sure Rand Paul thought it did.

Anyway, Republicans filibustering Obama nominations is nothing new. Hey, they did it just the other day to shoot down an appellate court nominee on the grounds that she’s not pre-approved by the NRA. 

But the Rand Paul filibuster is worth highlighting because he made such a strong case against using drone strikes on US citizens that he (possibly intentionally, possibly accidentally) called into question over a decade’s worth of govt policy that has essentially asserted the legal right of the US govt to stomp all over the civil liberties of anyone it thinks is guilty of terrorism (or drug smuggling, or whatever).

Danger Room has a nice write-up about it here.

“When people talk about a ‘battlefield America’,” Paul said, around hour four, Americans should “realize they’re telling you your Bill of Rights don’t apply.” That is a consequence of the September 2001 Authorization to Use Military Force that did not bound a war against al-Qaida to specific areas of the planet. “We can’t have perpetual war. We can’t have a war with no temporal limits,” Paul said. […]

Paul sometimes seemed to object to the specific platform of drones used against Americans more than it did the platform-independent subject of targeted killing. But Paul actually centered his long monologue on the expansive legal claims implied by targeting Americans for due-process-free execution: “If you get on a kill list, it’s kind of hard to complain…. If you’re accused of a crime, I guess that’s it…. I don’t want a politician deciding my innocence or guilt.” Paul threw in criticisms of other aspects of the war on terrorism beyond targeted killing, from widespread surveillance of Americans to the abuses of state/Homeland Security intelligence “fusion centers.”

Even more to the point, says Danger Room, Paul actually got some of the GOP’s more hawkish senators – all of whom have generally supported the very perpetual war, secrecy in the name of national security and due-process-avoiding tactics that have characterized the War On Terrorz ever since the Bush Posse concocted it – to agree with him.

Whether any of them will actually doing anything about this apart from blocking Obama nominations on general principle is another question entirely. I seriously doubt it. For a start, I think most of the senators who joined in were just giving Paul a chance to rest his vocal cords and think up a new angle to run with for another two hours. And I do think many of them see the issue mainly as a chance to put it in the heads of The American People™ that Obama (not the US govt, but Obama specifically) wants to kill them with drones without due process, and they oppose that.

Certainly John McCain and Lindsay Graham were not impressed or amused by young Rand's antics. If yr gonna filibuster a CIA director nomination vote, why spend 13 hours talking about killing Americans with US drones when the REAL issue is killing Americans with BENGHAZI

Also, most of the focus of post-mortem discussion seems more concerned with the specific scenario of a US drone strike on US citizens on US soil – which most reasonable people agree is unlikely to ever actually happen if only for sheer political reasons. And Eric Holder has since finally admitted that it’s probably illegal (at least if it happens on US soil and yr not talking about a 9/11 scenario – if America drone-strikes its citizens while they’re overseas, it is totally legal as far as Holder is concerned).

So if Rand’s filibusterin’ is an indictment of the entire post-9/11 paradigm of Perpetual War and Gitmo and the Patriot Act and torture chambers and legalized assassinations and warrantless wiretaps to date, it’s likely Danger Room and the usual civil-libertarian crowd that has been saying this for years are the only ones who’ve noticed. 

Still, you have to start somewhere, I guess.

If it takes all night,

This is dF

defrog: (Default)
This is quite possibly the post you've been waiting for.

Some of you may remember that in the wake of Presidente Obama’s first election victory, a number of entrepreneurs worldwide raced to cash in on his name. One of them was a restaurant/bar owner in Barcelona. 

I have proof.

 photo 2013-02-28095144-2_zps9e4a0b6a.jpg

 photo 2013-02-28095234_zps9b98f170.jpg

The building that houses it is under renovation, so that banner covers the original storefront signage, which looks like this.

OBAMA BAR 03 photo 2013-02-28095254_zps28c9d90d.jpg

 photo 2013-02-28095305_zps64b662f7.jpg

As you can see, the Obama pub sports a British-African themed décor. Which is, to say the least, a little tacky, if not outright controversial. I don’t know if the décor was already in place when the owner came up with the name: I’m assuming it was.

Still, it’s the sort of thing that Orly Taitz or Donald Trump would find funny. Or compile into their Big Box O’ Evidence. Trump would probably buy it and open a chain of them across America if he thought it was worth the grief he’d get for it. Or if he was the least bit interested in the restaurant business.

Anyway, it is what it is, and I specifically took a detour to get a photo of it. Because I live to entertain you people.

Also, I live to annoy the kind of people who get annoyed very easily by Obama’s popularity. Which, of course, I find hilarious.

PRODUCTION NOTE: I didn’t have breakfast there, no. I was tempted, of course. But I didn’t really have time. And according to online reviews, it’s better for drinking than eating.

Up next: the random!

Somewhere in Africa,

This is dF


defrog: (Default)
“Or, “How To Write The Worst Column In The World And Then Dig Yrself In Deeper Than You Already Were”

Or, “How To Write Flame Bait”

Or, “Why Troll In The Comments When You Can Do It In The Actual Post?”

Or … well, I got a bunch of ‘em.

I’m referring, of course, to that opinion piece by Eliana Johnson at the formerly respectable National Review – the one where she criticizes Presidente Obama for describing the Holocaust as “senseless”.

Yes.

I hate to spend much time on this, as I’m partly convinced she intentionally wrote it as flame bait to generate a lot of hits for NRO. But it’s worth passing on as a textbook case on how NOT to try and make a half-assed point in a way that will cause readers to draw a completely different conclusion than the one you intended.

Johnson’s point – such as it was – was that Obama (and the left in general) is wrong to call the Holocaust (and most mass murder) “senseless” because the Nazis – and everyone who supported their party – knew full well what they were doing. Therefore it wasn’t senseless.

It’s kind of the equivalent of really annoying people who think they're clever when they argue with counter staff at Starbucks that “venti” means “twenty”, not “large”.

Anyway, as you can imagine, a lot of people took her piece to mean that she was defending the Nazis. So she wrote a follow-up column defending the original column, in which she complained that everyone totally missed the point.

To be fair, this is technically true. Her objective wasn’t to defend the Nazis, but make some obscure point about how liberals always describe violence as “senseless”, which is bad because it encourages people to ignore the “politics, ideology, and human nature” that create monsters like the Nazis and al Qaeda and sanitize the atrocities they commit. (Judging from the throwaway comment near the end, Johnson’s objective may actually have been just to make some half-assed point about how Obama used the same word to describe what happened at Benghazi, and we all know how he doesn’t want people to know what motivated the attackers because … well, I don’t know why he doesn’t want people to know about it, but obviously he doesn’t.)

Judging from the comments section, the second column seems to have only made the problem worse. Not only does it show how bad the first column was (rule of thumb: if no one gets the point you were trying to make to the point of drawing a completely different conclusion than what you meant, you’ve written a bad column), but it also expounds what was already a bad argument in the first place.

First of all, the term “senseless violence” gets used by people on both sides of the political spectrum all the time. It’s not used exclusively by The Left, a fact easily verified by spending all of ten (10) seconds on Google.

And even if it was, almost no one uses it to mean, “Murder is completely unexplainable, so the reasons it happens don't matter”. Even when it’s applied to ideologically-driven killings, describing it as “senseless” isn't the same thing as saying, “The ideology that led to this is of no consequence.” What it means is, “The reasons given for this make no sense to reasonable, sane people who believe killing to be wrong and immoral.”

But you know this.

Eliana Johnson apparently doesn’t. Which is why, I suppose, she seems genuinely baffled that almost everyone missed the point she was trying to make.

Anyway: I give Eliana Johnson an F-minus. 

Stop making sense,

This is dF


defrog: (Default)
And really, I wouldn’t have posted anything about it at all if not for the insane genius that is Charles Krauthammer.

I’ve avoided posting about the Fiscal Cliff™ for two key reasons: (1) I know dick about economics, and (2) there’s really nothing to post about unless we go over it. And even then I probably wouldn't have much to say because of Reason 1. That, and I’m going with the assumption that both politicians and the media are making it out to be a far bigger deal than it really is.

In the meantime, we’ve gotten pretty much what I expected – a buttload of frontline partisan posturing while the actual negotiations go on in the back room, none of which helps me formulate any real opinion except that it’s business as usual.

Interestingly, that also includes the Tea Party dingbats making John Boehner look bad. So much for the hopes that some Republicans telling Grover Norquist to take a hike was a sign that the GOP had some sense knocked back into it by Obama’s re-election.

John Scalzi has that ground covered pretty well. But essentially, the upshot is that the GOP is still dysfunctional and hamstrung by the “never compromise, never surrender” mentality of the Tea Party that’s keeping it from making the deal its own leadership wants.

Guess whose fault that is?

Why, Presidente Obama, of course.

I know this because Charles Krauthammer said so.

“He’s been using this, and I must say with great skill – and ruthless skill and success – to fracture and basically shatter the Republican opposition… His objective from the very beginning was to break the will of the Republicans in the House, and to create an internal civil war. And he’s done that.”

Now, let’s be fair – it’s fairly normal in politics to blame the Opposition President for everything that’s wrong in America. No one here is in the business of making their opponents look good.

And I’d fully expect Krauthammer to go on Sean Hannity’s show and say that if when America sails off the Fiscal Cliff™, you can blame Obama for that.

But to blame Obama for yr own party not being able to get its shit together? That takes balls (or CHOOT-spa, if you will). It’s like the coach of a football team blaming the coach of the other team for not letting them win the Super Bowl.

Only Krauthammer is more like a cheerleader than a coach. But you see what I’m saying.

Anyway, I’m looking forward to the hoo-ha when the Fiscal Cliff™ kicks in. And there will be hoo-ha.

Falling off the edge of the world,

This is dF

defrog: (Default)
Currently making the rounds on the blogosphere:

Alabama, Arkansas, Colorado, Florida, Georgia, Indiana, Kentucky, Louisiana, Michigan, Mississippi, Missouri, Montana, New Jersey, New York, North Carolina, North Dakota, Oregon, South Carolina, Tennessee, and Texas want to secede from the Union because they’re mad Obama won the election and they want to get out before he forces them to be Gay Muslim Spanish-Speaking Socialists.



Or, more accurately – very small groups of paranoid dingbats in each of the above 20 states have started petitions for their states to secede from the Union. The actual govts of each state have no plans whatsoever to secede.

So there’s no story there, is what I’m saying.

In fact, I’m only really posting this because a lot of media stories have been writing catchy headlines implying the actual states (rather than a hundred thousand people or so across 20 states) are planning to drop out. Which is, as I say, not even close to being the case.

Not even Texas, which is getting the most press because (1) that secession petition not only has the most signatures, but also has enough to trigger a response from the White House (based on the rules of its petition website), and (2) it’s Texas. People there threaten secession all the time

But it is worth blogging about if only to pass along one crucial piece of helpful information:

You don’t secede from the Union by petitioning the White House on a web site.

You don’t petition the White House at all, actually. There’s no actual legal procedure to follow for secession. There’s nothing in the Constitution allowing for it. Wanna secede? Just do it.

Is that legal? Hell no. Which means the US Govt is under no obligation to recognize yr new country as legitimate. Which means yr pretty much gonna have to fight for it.

And that tends not to work out so well.

So no, I don’t take these nincompoops seriously. I don’t think they’ve given this any thought beyond “We hate Obama and we want to be our own United States Of Real America so Mitt Romney can be our president.”

They’re in the same bush league as the Ayn Rand kooks threatening to go Galt – sore losers throwing a temper tantrum who think that they can get their way if they threaten to take their toys and go home. Except of course that it’s much easier to go Galt. Better yet, it only affects the people who do it, because as John Scalzi has pointed out, going Galt only works in Ayn Rand novels, not real life.

The South will rise again,

This is dF


defrog: (Default)
ITEM: Mother Jones has thoughtfully compiled every Obama Conspiracy Theory into a handy chart for easy reference.



It’s an admittedly impressive list, when you see them all in one place.

I’m looking forward to seeing what people are going to add to the list in Obama Term Two.

The most amazing man who ever lived,

This is dF


defrog: (Default)
It’s getting to be about that time.

And it’s traditional for political junkies to announce two items of sociopolitical importance: who they want to win the US presidential election and who they think will win.

I will type them for you now.

At length ... )

Get ready to rumble,

This is dF
defrog: (Default)
Emergency opinion from Team Def Chief Political Batshit Scientist, Lucky Bensonhurst

The first of the POTUS debates is over, and everything has gone exactly as I predicted.

Granted, my prediction was along the lines of this: “Romney and Obama will say everything they’ve been saying for the last year, and that regardless of their actual performance, the party faithful from both sides will not only declare their own candidate the winner by a landslide, but also that the Opposition got his ass kicked all the way downtown.”

So I think I nailed it. Except that the second bit is more true for Romney than Obama.

Or so the Internet says. Indeed, the Internet is a-dither over polls declaring Romney the winner of this round – much to the surprise of just about every hardcore liberal in the country who were sure that Obama would hand Mitt his ass back to him. Even William Rivers Pitt is wondering just what the hell happened to El Jefe’s mojo.

Then again, that disappointment is easy to explain – hardcore liberals frequently made the mistake of assuming that Obama is as far to the left as they are. Which is probably why they expected him to speechify his way to victory and/or body-slam Romney’s lying ass Jon Stewart Style and end the election right then and there. Or something.

So what really happened?

Theories abound.

My own theory is that Obama deliberately pulled his punches – possibly because he was trying to make himself look like the reasonable one in this discussion (which would work great against pretty much every other Republican POTUS candidate this season except for the Mormon ones – who knew?), or possibly because Team Obama figured he could jiu-jitsu his way to victory by letting Romney do what he’s done all through campaign – punch himself repeatedly in the nuts and hand Obama all the ammo he needs to take him down.

That didn’t happen, though by many accounts it could have. Maybe Obama is saving all that mojo for the last debate.

Maybe it’s all Jim Lehrer’s fault.

Or damn, Hovis, maybe it really was the altitude.

Either way, for all the dithering over Obama’s performance, I can’t see it helping Romney that much at this stage.

It’s hard to tell, of course – we’re in post-analysis Media Circus mode right now, and pundits will make hay, as they do. But taking a macro view, I don’t see anything from the debate that would cost Obama the support he already has – and he has a lot.

But as I’ve said before, so far the election has been Obama’s to lose, and it’s safe to say that, in terms of political logic, Romney has bought himself a chance to get back in this. Liberals will complain he got it by lying his ass off. Which is true. So what else is new? No one ever became president by being honest – not even Obama.

But here’s a thing: Romney isn't likely to get away with that again. Obama may have held back in Round 1. But there’s two more debates to go, and you can bet Team Obama will be watching the tapes and rethinking their strategy. 

L. Bensonhurst
defrog: (Default)
ITEM: A bipartisan Senate report on the Department Of Homeland Security’s “fusion centers” project to mine and share info with state and local law-enforcement agencies in the name of fighting Teh Terrorismz concludes that the program has not only failed to uncover any actual terrorist plots, but has been used for crimes completely unrelated to terrorism, and has gathered data on innocent people unrelated to crime of any kind.

Put country simple: fusion centers aren’t catching terrorists, so the DHS is using them to fight ordinary crime and gather info on people who aren't guilty of anything (yet).

I recommend reading the breakdowns from Associated Press and Danger Room for more details.

One takeway from Danger Room is this:

… it’s worth considering what the director of the northern California fusion center told a Senate panel in 2011.
The director, Ronald Brooks, mentioned that there isn’t any transnational terrorism in Oakland. But Oakland did have 740 recent shootings, and so he defended spending federal terrorism grants solving those crimes. “That’s terror right there in our own community,” Brooks said. “And that kind of terror is one that’s experienced in big cities and small towns across the country.”

Think of that.

Also, there’s this from AP:

Because of a convoluted grants process set up by Congress, Homeland Security officials don't know how much they have spent in their decade-long effort to set up so-called fusion centers in every state. Government estimates range from less than $300 million to $1.4 billion in federal money, plus much more invested by state and local governments. Federal funding is pegged at about 20 percent to 30 percent.

Despite that, Congress is unlikely to pull the plug. That's because, whether or not it stops terrorists, the program means politically important money for state and local governments.

Think of that.

Meanwhile, the Congressional Budget Office has just released its Homeland Security budget review for 2013, which reveals the US govt spent $68 billion on homeland security in 2012 – less than a peak in 2009, but considerably more than in 2001.

As Bruce Schneier points out, that’s outside the regular budgets for the War Dept (including the war funding for Iraq and Afghanistan) and the Justice Dept.

Presidente Obama is requesting around $70 billion for 2013.

The point, if there is one, is one that civil libertarians warned of all the way back in 2001 when the Bush Posse came up with the DHS, the Patriot Act and any number of cockamamie data mining programs, to include warrantless wiretaps on everyone’s phones, which is this:

When the govt curtails civil liberties and establishes surveillance/info-gathering programs in the name of fighting terrorism and only terrorism, you can be sure of four things:

1) The programs will get bigger, not smaller.

2) They’ll be used for lots of other things besides terrorism cases.

3) Their list of suspicious people and groups will include a lot of people who are not terrorists or criminals.

4) The longer the programs exist, the more normalized they seem to the public, and the harder they are politically to dismantle, even if you wanted to do so.

And so here we are.

Small Govt!

I’ll be watching you,

This is dF


defrog: (Default)
We’ve got six weeks to go in POTUS 2012®, and as you may have guessed, the campaign hinges on two crucial issues – Mitt Romney’s tax returns and Barack Obama’s secret plan to redistribute America’s economic power to the rest of the world so that we’re all on the same level (which would be somewhere around where Greece is now).

Ha ha. Not really.

It’s mostly about the economy and jobs, although thanks to some hack filmmaker in California, it’s now also about foreign policy to an extent, and whether or not the solution to Muslim unrest is to declare war on Iran. (Because let's face it, if Obama had done that, you wouldn’t see all those riots. I guess. At least I think that’s what Mitt Romney has been trying to say without actually saying it.)

Anyway, now that foreign policy is on the table – which in this case basically means Dealing With Overseas America-Hating Muslims That Hate America That Al Qaeda Can Recruit From the War On Terror™ – it will be interesting to see if that brings another issue on the table: civil liberties.

To recap: the US Govt currently prefers to deal with Al Qaeda by give intelligence and law enforcement agencies all kinds of powers – mass surveillance, indefinite detention, assassination, etc – all of which can be applied even if yr an American citizen entitled to due process under the Constitution (as opposed to Foreign People You Don’t Know). Most of that started under Bush Jr. And it has continued under Presidente Obama. Some of it has even been legalized under Obama, and you can find a whole nice long list of things Obama has endorsed and utilized here.

Bipartisan!

Which is why civil liberties has been a non-issue in this campaign. No one on either side wants to bring it up. Why would they? Obama’s not going to bring it up because it makes him sound like Bush 2. And Republicans aren’t going to bring it up because they support every one of those policies, and they’re not about to give Obama credit for anything, least of all their own ideas. Indeed, the only thing they’d sincerely criticize Obama for in the civil liberties field is that he’s not violating them nearly enough.

“Pussy!”

Mind you, if any of this does come up in the debates, it’s going to make for some uncomfortable moments for Obama supporters.

I should know. I’ve pointed out Obama’s civil liberties record to a few of his admirers who have gone to great lengths to convince wavering liberals that Obama’s record in Term 1 proves he’s accomplished more than they might think. When I suggested they look at the full record – in the interest of having a more fully informed opinion – the response usually went something like this:

“What? Where did you get that from? I don’t think that’s true. It doesn't sound like something Obama would support.”

Well, they would say that. Never mind that it’s a matter of record. Obama’s only got a single-digit advantage, and no one wants to ruin that with inconvenient truths.

That said, I don’t think they have much to fear on that score – it’s not like civil liberties would improve under a Romney/Ryan admin. Indeed, they're likely to get worse

And as mentioned earlier, there are other issues on the table where Obama is the more appealing choice for them. And I do think even disenchanted Obama supporters from 2008 are much more likely to stick with him for another term than vote for Romney.

Still, I suppose it’s symptomatic of the Big Fear gripping the Left over the prospect of a Double R victory that they can’t even face some basic, documentable truths about their own candidate.

So is the fact that a lot of people – and by no means just Republicans – either see nothing wrong with the current status quo on civil liberties, or do but figure that’s just the way it has to be now because of all the terrorists out there plotting to kill them.

Roy Batty was right.

Off the record, on the QT and very hush-hush,

This is dF


defrog: (Default)
Emergency op-ed from Team Def Political Voodoo Priest Lucky Bensonhurst.

It is an election year. My editor demands copy. “Send me visions of the future! Eight thousand words! You have two hours!”

Well, why not? I am a professional, and I can pound these out in my sleep. I often do. I’m doing it right now, in fact. Which explains the plus-size lingerie-clad cabana ladies in my bungalow. One is giving me a pedicure. The other one is chopping up coconuts with a machete for the pina coladas the third one will be engineering as soon as she’s done massaging my nose.

So. To business.

ITEM: Mitt Romney is blowing it.

Well, maybe not. He’s not out of the running yet. But between his reaction to the anti-American riots overseas and his theories about Obama’s support base, a lot of Republicans probably wish they’d gone with Anyone But Mitt after all.

Not that they necessarily disagree with what he said about any of those things. Indeed, every Republican worth his/her mettle sees the dead Ambassador to Libya mainly as ammunition they can use against Obama and other Muslims. But not while the body’s still warm, for God’s sake.

In any case, as Mitt has about 3.5 years less foreign policy experience than Obama, the GOP’s strategy has been to sell him as a guy who understands both the problems of working-class Americans AND how to bring America Inc. into the black. But Mitt is making it clear to more and more people that he knows about the working class about as much as a cocaine-addicted monkey knows about Lehman Brothers. This is, after all, the man who thinks $200k a year counts as middle-class.

Perspective!

But then I find it fucking disingenuous that a millionaire who only pays 13% in taxes when he’s supposed to be paying 35% thinks the solution to the deficit and unemployment is to give people like himself a tax cut as an incentive to create jobs, so I would say that, wouldn’t I?

Anyway.

If Mitt keeps talking “off the cuff”, he’s going to find it increasingly difficult to take control of his image, what with essentially handing Team Obama material so good it needs no editing or rewrites.

Take his and Ann Romney’s appearance on ABC's "Live! With Kelly and Michael”, in which Mitt tries to pass himself off as human (as opposed to a robot), and instead portrays him and the missus as the Whitest, Straightest, Couple In America:

Mitt Romney snores, loves Reese's Peanut Butter Cups and secretly admires Snooki on MTV's "Jersey Shore." Ann Romney hogs the blankets, irritates her husband by leaving the cap off the toothpaste and once walked in on former President George W. Bush getting a massage while exploring the White House.

Fucking gaaaaaaaah.

Okay. Maybe it’s just me. But reading that, I liked him better as a robot.

Granted, that won’t cost him the election. It fucking well should. But it won’t.

But then it’s worth remembering that Mitt is doing as well as he is in the polls mainly because has a built-in GOP base fueled by fear and loathing for Comrade Imam Hussein Obama, and because he has Paul Ryan in his corner (who himself is in the comical position of having voted into place some of the govt policies that Romney is criticizing Obama for).

So no matter what big dumb things Mitt says between now and November, that support isn’t going anywhere, if only because it’s got nowhere else to go, and they’re so terrified/outraged at the prospect of a second Obama term that they’re not likely to risk a conscience vote with Gary Johnson.

The indie/mod vote is another matter. And he’s not exactly endearing himself to them.

But then neither is Obama.

And the size of the indie voting bloc, incidentally, is getting bigger.

Fun times, eh Jim?

L. Bensonhurst


defrog: (Default)
Apparently.



[By order of phoenixisrisen, with additional motivation from [personal profile] bedsitter23 ]

Granted, all online political tests should be taken with as many grains of salt as required. And I will say it’s an incomplete test. If they’d asked what I thought about things like Gitmo, detention laws, and executive orders to assassinate US citizens, for example, Obama would be somewhat lower on that list – depending, I guess, on how Jill Stein and Gary Johnson feel about them.

Still, at least I found out who the heck Jill Stein is. I saw her name pop up on some Facebook memes. I had no idea who they were talking about. (As you might imagine, indie candidates don't get a lot of media attention in Hong Kong.)

FULL DISCLOSURE: The shareable image of my results doesn’t show this, but I agreed with Virgil Goode of the Constitution even less than I did with Mitt (20%). But both of them were below Rocky Anderson of the Justice Party (61%).

Also, I am in agreement with 62% of America. At least when it comes to politics.

When it comes to music, not so much.

DISCLAIMER: Not an endorsement of any particular candidate. For entertainment purposes only.

I am the decider,

This is dF


defrog: (Default)
Before you ask – no, I didn’t watch the RNC convention. I don’t watch them in general. I won’t be watching the Demo convention in Charlotte this week, either. Expat status, time differences and lack of cable TV aside, I think conventions are glorified coronation ceremonies to rally the national party base. Non-believers need not apply.

Sure, this one was supposed to be the one where Rick Santorum was supposed to come to Tampa and prove to America that you don’t need a moderate to win the White House because batshit Christian conservatism was now the mainstream.

Ha ha.

Still, as an American citizen I’m required by law to post about everything political. Luckily – and as usual – Jon Stewart saves me a lot of work. As does [personal profile] bedsitter23 , both of whom point out that the real point of the convention wasn’t to nominate Mitt Romney so much as get Chris Christie’s 2016 campaign started. Which may or may not say a lot about the GOP’s assessment of Mitt’s chances.

Anyway, here’s a few highlights for me:

1. Clint Eastwood vs Invisible Obama

I think it’s fair to say Clint stole the show, albeit for all the wrong reasons. I do give him credit for trying something different, even if it was the equivalent of an actors’ studio exercise. And in a weird way it was impressive to see him get a room full of Republicans to applaud the statement that going to war in Afghanistan was a bad idea, which was as close as they got to ever acknowledging that there was a Republican presidential admin between Clinton and Obama. Because as we all know invading Afghanistan in October 2001 was all Obama’s idea. Somehow.

2. Dubya who?

Speaking of which – and it’s been pointed out by others – it says a lot that the convention was just as notable by who WASN’T onstage – namely, every major figure in the Bush Posse apart from Condi Rice (who, by the wildest coincidence, is both African American and a woman, two groups of people the GOP have allegedly declared war on). And, notably, one of her key points was, “It's not a time to look back, it's a time to look forward.”

Well, yes. Why dwell on the past? Why remind people that the last time they put a Repub in the White House, he left office with two money-pit wars, an economic crash and the lowest approval ratings since Nixon? Why talk about that when we can talk about why Presidente Hussein Obama hasn’t fixed everything?

3. Mitt’s post-convention bounce

There wasn’t one.

And so much for that.

So it’s officially Romney/Ryan vs Obama/Biden. And Romney/Ryan will spend the next three months trying to talk about the economy, as opposed to talking about what all the crazy batshit people in their party think about rape (which won’t be easy, as one of them is, apparently, Paul “Method Of Conception” Ryan).

Good luck with that.

I think it’s too early to call a result just yet – three months is a long time in politics, and for all Mitt’s Mittness, he’s neck and neck with Obama in most polls. Which may be why the GOP’s big priority now seems to be is keeping Gary Johnson and certain voters out of the election.

But for the moment, I think the election is Obama’s to lose. Barring any unforeseen disaster or scandal – to include another recession – I think Obama is perfectly capable of speechifying his way to a second term, and I don’t see Romney/Ryan doing much to spoil that on their own.

Somebody keeps moving my chair,

This is dF
 

defrog: (Default)
Yr new favorite Obama conspiracy theory: Obama is in favor of gay marriage because he is actually gay. Or at least bisexual.

Source: Tea Party activist Jerome Corsi.

He has evidence, you know:

Saying that Obama's life contains "lies, mysteries" and other "disinformation," Corsi states, "Obama had all these roommate pictures [where he] seems to be sitting about on the guy’s lap. I’ve not seen a lot of roommate pictures where two guys are that chummy!" He then asks, "Was he married to a guy, I mean, what’s the deal?"

Well, there you go.

It does explain a lot. No straight person could possibly be in favor of gay marriage.

Which would mean that roughly half of America is now gay.

In which case Bryan Fischer’s plans for an underground railroad to kidnap rescue children from gay parents and send them to Nicaragua will need a lot more funding.

FUN FACT: Jerome Corsi also has evidence that Obama’s long-form birth certificate is a forgery. So it’s not like he’s some kook trying to make a name for himself.

Show us the marriage certificate,

This is dF


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